{
  "product": "Signal Watch — public track record",
  "publisher": "Lead Element",
  "description": "Owner-approved, scored calls from the Signal Watch Scout Reports, each with the verdict, dates, and public evidence links. Nothing is listed until it is graded and approved.",
  "license": "Educational and informational only, not advice. Public-domain sources.",
  "scored_count": 3,
  "total_count": 3,
  "hit_rate_pct": 50,
  "calls": [
    {
      "vertical": "helix",
      "call": "CMS will publish the CY2027 Home Health Prospective Payment System proposed rule in the Federal Register on July 6, 2026, opening the formal 60-day public comment window for home health operators including LHC Group/Optum, Amedisys/UnitedHealth, and Enhabit.",
      "entities": "CMS, LHC Group, Optum, Amedisys, UnitedHealth, Enhabit",
      "confidence": "HIGH",
      "date_made": "2026-07-03",
      "judge_by": "2026-07-10",
      "verdict": "right",
      "what_happened": "CMS published the CY2027 Home Health Prospective Payment System proposed rule (CMS-1844-P) in the Federal Register on July 6, 2026 (91 FR 41216), exactly as called. The rule formally opened a public comment window, with comments due by August 31, 2026 — which is approximately 56 days from publication, consistent with the stated ~60-day window. The rule directly affects home health operators including those named in the call (LHC Group/Optum, Amedisys/UnitedHealth, and Enhabit).",
      "evidence": [
        "https://www.federalregister.gov/documents/2026/07/06/2026-13602/calendar-year-2027-home-health-prospective-payment-system-hh-pps-rate-update-requirements-for-the-hh",
        "https://www.hfma.org/payment-reimbursement-and-managed-care/cy-2027-home-health-prospective-payment-system-proposed-rule-summary/",
        "https://www.appliedpolicy.com/cms-proposes-net-2-4-increase-in-cy-2027-home-health-payments-temporary-pdgm-recoupment-cut-and-medicare-wide-provider-enrollment-safeguards/"
      ],
      "approved_at": "2026-07-10T10:34:27.122Z"
    },
    {
      "vertical": "orbit",
      "call": "SAM.gov is expected to be restored the week of 30 June–5 July 2026, at which point new ORBIT-sector RFPs and SBIR awards for space/launch companies should become visible.",
      "entities": "SAM.gov",
      "confidence": "MED",
      "date_made": "2026-07-03",
      "judge_by": "2026-07-10",
      "verdict": "wrong",
      "what_happened": "No evidence exists of a SAM.gov platform outage or restoration event during the week of June 30–July 5, 2026. SAM.gov was operational throughout this period, posting routine maintenance notices (e.g., a July 11, 2026 planned window) and ISR deadlines, with no indication of a prior extended outage being lifted. The SBIR/STTR program freeze was a legislative reauthorization issue separate from SAM.gov platform availability, and had already begun resolving in early 2026 (not tied to this specific week).",
      "evidence": [
        "https://sam.gov/alerts",
        "https://sam.gov/workspace",
        "https://www.galliumsolutions.co/post/sbir-sttr-programs-just-reopened-after-5-month-shutdown-what-your-business-needs-to-know-right-now"
      ],
      "approved_at": "2026-07-10T10:34:27.122Z"
    },
    {
      "vertical": "all",
      "call": "FOMC minutes released Mon 07/06/2026 will reveal internal Fed debate tone on the rate path, contextualized against the soft June ADP print of 98k jobs (below consensus).",
      "entities": "Federal Reserve, FOMC",
      "confidence": "HIGH",
      "date_made": "2026-07-02",
      "judge_by": "2026-07-09",
      "verdict": "partly right",
      "what_happened": "The FOMC minutes from the June 16–17 meeting were released on Wednesday, July 8, 2026 (not Monday July 6 as the call stated). The minutes did reveal a significant internal rate-path debate, with the committee described as 'split down the middle' between hawks citing tariffs and AI-driven inflation and doves favoring a hold or cut. The June ADP print of 98k jobs (below consensus) was confirmed as soft, but the minutes' debate was contextualized primarily around inflation risks rather than labor market softness.",
      "evidence": [
        "https://www.cnbc.com/2026/07/08/fed-minutes-june-2026-.html",
        "https://www.coingabbar.com/en/crypto-currency-news/latest-federal-reserve-fomc-meeting-minutes-update-july-2026",
        "https://www.cnbc.com/2026/07/01/private-payrolls-rose-by-98000-in-june-less-than-expected-adp-reports.html"
      ],
      "approved_at": "2026-07-10T10:34:27.122Z"
    }
  ]
}