Situational awareness · you decide

Two lanes.
Yes or no.
Kept honest by the score.

Signal Watch calls the Fed and the AI complex — one plain yes-or-no per event, graded against the source that settles it. We show our work, and our record.

—hit rate

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The Fed & Macrorates · inflation · growth

Σ

AI & Semiconductorsearnings · filings · capacity

Open calls

resolves YES / NO · sorted by catalyst

Track Record

right / wrong · graded on the official source

Hit rate

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both lanes

The Fed & Macro

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graded

AI & Semis

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graded

Calls graded

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and counting

Short ≤7d

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Medium 8–90d

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Long >90d

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Hit rate vs. our standard

We hold ourselves to a 70% bar. The marker is our live record — above the bar we're beating it, below we're not.

Resolved calls

Every call, graded on the official source.

Call	Ours	Result

What you receive

one email a week

This week's yes/no calls on the Fed and the AI complex, plus last week's grades. Free readers get the record and a sample; paid readers get every live call and the dossier behind it.

Signal Watch Weekly

The Fed & the AI complex

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This week

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